Half-Year Report 2021

Business Outlook

Vonovia can report positive business development in the first six months of the 2021 fiscal year despite the ongoing coronavirus pandemic. The Rental, Recurring Sales and Value-add segments showed positive development. The Development segment reported a moderate downward trend. Unlike in the previous year, this segment contains Bien Ries (now operating under BUWOG – Rhein-Main Development GmbH), which was acquired at the beginning of April 2020, in the first six months of 2021.

The forecast for the 2021 fiscal year was based on the accounting principles used in the consolidated financial statements. The current forecast does not take account of any larger acquisitions of real estate portfolios.

Our forecast for the 2021 fiscal year is based on determined and updated corporate planning for the Vonovia Group as a whole, and considers current business developments, possible opportunities and risks, and the potential impact of the coronavirus pandemic. It also includes the key overall macroeconomic developments and the economic factors that are relevant to the real estate industry and our corporate strategy. Further information is provided in the sections of the 2020 Group management report entitled “Fundamental Information About the Group” and “Development of the Economy and the Industry.”

Beyond this, the Group’s further development remains exposed to general opportunities and risks. These have also been described in the chapter on opportunities and risks in the 2020 Group management report.

We expect that the coronavirus pandemic will not have a significant impact on the key operational and financial figures and therefore will have no impact on future business development.

We expect total segment revenue to increase further in 2021. We are also currently observing stable demand for rental apartments and no negative impact on market values as a result of the coronavirus pandemic.

Vonovia predicts that all operating segments will contribute to the increase in Adjusted EBITDA Total and Group FFO. The biggest absolute increases are expected to be seen in the Rental and Development segments. This is based, among other things, on the assumption that CO2 tax can be apportioned to tenants under the German Ancillary Costs Ordinance (Betriebskostenverordnung).

In addition, we expect the value of our company to increase in 2021 and predict a moderate increase in EPRA NTA per share, leaving any further market-related changes in value out of the equation. We expect the high level of customer satisfaction to continue. The reduction of carbon emissions is working better than expected.

The following table provides an overview of our forecast and presents material and selected key figures.

 

Actual 2020

Forecast for 2021

Forecast for 2021 in the 2021 Q1 Report

Forecast for 2021 in the 2021 H1 Report

 

 

 

 

 

Total Segment Revenue

€ 4.4 billion

€ 4.9–5.1 billion

€ 4.9–5.1 billion

€ 4.9–5.1 billion

EPRA NTA per share*

€ 62.71

suspended

suspended

suspended

Adjusted EBITDA Total

€ 1,909.8 million

€ 1,975–2,025 million

€ 1,975–2,025 million

€ 2,055–2,105 million

Group FFO

€ 1,348.2 million

€ 1,415–1,465 million

€ 1,415–1,465 million

€ 1,465–1,515 million

Group FFO per share*

€ 2.38

suspended

suspended

suspended

Sustainability Performance Index (SPI)

~100%

~100%

~105%

Revenue in the Rental segment

€ 2,285.9 million

€ 2.3–2.4 billion

€ 2.3–2.4 billion

€ 2.3–2.4 billion

Organic rent growth (eop)

3.1%

Increase of ~3.0–3.8%**

Increase of ~3.8%

Increase of ~3.8%

Modernization and new construction

€ 1,343.9 million

€ 1.3–1.6 billion

€ 1.3–1.6 billion

€ 1.3–1.6 billion

Number of units sold Recurring Sales

2,442

~2,500

~2,500

~2,800

Fair value step-up Recurring Sales

39.6%

~30%

~30%

>35%

*

Based on the shares carrying dividend rights on the reporting date.

**

Depending on whether or not the Act on Rent Controls in the Housing Sector in Berlin (MietenWoG Bln) is found to be constitutional at the end of 2021, we expect rent increases at the upper/lower end of the forecast.

Bochum, Germany, July 28, 2021

The Management Board

Adjusted EBITDA Total (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization)
Adjusted EBITDA Total is the result before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (including income from other operational investments and intragroup profits) adjusted for effects that do not relate to the period, recur irregularly and that are atypical for business operation, and for net income from fair value adjustments to investment properties. These non-recurring items include the development of new fields of business and business processes, acquisition projects, expenses for refinancing and equity increases (where not treated as capital procurement costs), IPO preparation costs and expenses for pre-retirement part-time work arrangements and severance payments. The Adjusted EBITDA Total is derived from the sum of the Adjusted EBITDA Rental, Adjusted EBITDA Value-add, Adjusted EBITDA Recurring Sales and Adjusted EBITDA Development.
European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA)
The European Public Real Estate Association (EPRA) is a non-profit organization that has its registered headquarters in Brussels and represents the interests of listed European real estate companies. Its mission is to raise awareness of European listed real estate companies as a potential investment destination that offers an alternative to conventional investments. EPRA is a registered trademark of the European Public Real Estate Association.
Group FFO
Group FFO reflects the recurring earnings from the operating business. In addition to the adjusted EBITDA for the Rental, Value-add, Recurring Sales and Development segments, Group FFO allows for recurring current net interest expenses from non-derivative financial instruments as well as current income taxes. This key figure is not determined on the basis of any specific international reporting standard but is to be regarded as a supplement to other performance indicators determined in accordance with IFRS.
Recurring Sales
The Recurring Sales segment includes the regular and sustainable disposals of individual condominiums from our portfolio. It does not include the sale of entire buildings or land (Non-core Disposals). These properties are only sold as and when the right opportunities present themselves, meaning that the sales do not form part of our operating business within the narrower sense of the term. Therefore, these sales will be reported under “Other” in our segment reporting.