Business Outlook
The first three months of the 2019 fiscal year were very successful for Vonovia on the whole. We continued to systematically implement our corporate strategy. All business segments showed positive development.
We expect this positive development to continue in the 2019 fiscal year and predict that we will be able to achieve our forecast figures. Given the dynamic development of the German, Austrian and Swedish housing markets, we expect to see a further increase in the value of our investment properties and with this a further boost to Adjusted NAV per share.
Our current forecast is based on the outlook for the Vonovia Group as a whole, which includes the original overall plans for the 2019 fiscal year, as well as current business developments and possible opportunities and risks. Beyond this, the Group’s further development remains exposed to general opportunities and risks. These have been described in detail in the chapter on opportunities and risks in the Group management report of the 2018 Annual Report. The forecast was based on the accounting principles used in the annual financial statements, with the adjustments described elsewhere in the management report being made.
Our current forecast for the main performance indicators for the 2019 fiscal year was updated based on the accounting principles and standards used in the 2019 quarterly financial statements; incl. the initial application of IFRS 16:
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Actual 2018 |
Forecast 2019 |
Forecast for 2019 in the 2019 Q1 Report |
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|
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Adjusted NAV per share |
€ 44.90 |
suspended |
suspended |
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Adjusted EBITDA Total |
€ 1,554.8 million |
€ 1,650–1,700 million |
€ 1,700–1,750 million |
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Group FFO |
€ 1,132.0 million |
€ 1,140–1,190 million |
€ 1,165–1,215 million |
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Group FFO per share* |
€ 2.18 |
€ 2.20–2.30 |
€ 2.25–2.35 |
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Customer Satisfaction Index (CSI) |
Decrease of 2.6% |
Up slightly year-on-year |
Down slightly year-on-year |
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Rental income |
€ 1,894.2 million |
€ 2,020–2,070 million |
€ 2,020–2,070 million |
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Organic rent increase |
4.4% |
Increase of approx. 4.4% |
Increase of approx. 4.4% |
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Maintenance incl. capitalized maintenance |
€ 430.4 million |
– |
- |
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Modernization and new construction |
€ 1,139.0 million |
€ 1,300–1,600 million |
€ 1,300–1,600 million |
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Number of units sold Recurring Sales |
2,818 |
approx. 2,500 |
approx. 2,500 |
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Step-up Recurring Sales |
35.5% |
approx. 30% |
approx. 30% |
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Number of units sold Non-core Disposals |
12,284 |
– |
– |
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Step-up Non-core Disposals |
23.0% |
– |
– |
Bochum, Germany, April 29, 2019
The Management Board